研究成果
过滤器
搜索

常晋源, Tang, C. Y., & Wu, Y. (2013). Marginal empirical likelihood and sure independence feature screening. Annals of statistics, 41. 2123-2148.

We study a marginal empirical likelihood approach in scenarios when the number of variables grows exponentially with the sample size. The marginal empirical likelihood ratios as functions of the parameters of interest are sys- tematically examined, and we find that the marginal empirical likelihood ratio evaluated at zero can be used to differentiate whether an explanatory vari- able is contributing to a response variable or not. Based on this finding, we propose a unified feature screening procedure for linear models and the gen- eralized linear models. Different from most existing feature screening ap- proaches that rely on the magnitudes of some marginal estimators to identify true signals, the proposed screening approach is capable of further incorpo- rating the level of uncertainties of such estimators. Such a merit inherits the self-studentization property of the empirical likelihood approach, and extends the insights of existing feature screening methods. Moreover, we show that our screening approach is less restrictive to distributional assumptions, and can be conveniently adapted to be applied in a broad range of scenarios such as models specified using general moment conditions. Our theoretical results and extensive numerical examples by simulations and data analysis demon- strate the merits of the marginal empirical likelihood approach.

Read More »

常晋源, & Chen, S. X. (2011). On the approximate maximum likelihood estimation for diffusion processes. Annals of statistics, 39, 2820-2851.

The transition density of a diffusion process does not admit an explicit expression in general, which prevents the full maximum likelihood estimation (MLE) based on discretely observed sample paths. Aït-Sahalia [J. Finance 54 (1999) 1361–1395; Econometrica 70 (2002) 223–262] proposed asymptotic expansions to the transition densities of diffusion processes, which lead to an approximate maximum likelihood estimation (AMLE) for parameters. Built on Aït-Sahalia’s [Econometrica 70 (2002) 223–262; Ann. Statist. 36 (2008) 906–937] proposal and analysis on the AMLE, we establish the consistency and convergence rate of the AMLE, which reveal the roles played by the number of terms used in the asymptotic density expansions and the sampling interval between successive observations. We find conditions under which the AMLE has the same asymptotic distribution as that of the full MLE. A first order approximation to the Fisher information matrix is proposed.

Read More »